Stochastic Modeling of Biophysical Responses to Perturbation

Abstract Recent advances in high-throughput, multi-condition experiments allow for genome-wide investigation of how perturbations affect transcription and translation in the cell across multiple biological entities or modalities, from chromatin and mRNA information to protein production and spatial morphology. This presents an unprecedented opportunity to unravel how the processes of DNA and RNA regulation direct cell fate determination and disease response. Most methods designed for analyzing large-scale perturbation data focus on the observational outcomes, e.g., expression; however, many potential transcriptional mechanisms, such as transcriptional bursting or splicing dynamics, can underlie these complex and noisy observations. In this analysis, we demonstrate how a stochastic biophysical modeling approach to interpreting high-throughout perturbation data enables deeper investigation of the ‘how’ behind such molecular measurements. Our approach takes advantage of modalities already present in data produced with current technologies, such as nascent and mature mRNA measurements, to illuminate transcriptional dynamics induced by perturbation, predict kinetic behaviors in new perturbation settings, and uncover novel populations of cells with distinct kinetic responses to perturbation.