Risk prediction of heart diseases in patients with breast cancer: A deep learning approach with longitudinal electronic health records data

Accurately predicting heart disease risks in patients with breast cancer is crucial for clinical decision support and patient safety. This study developed and evaluated predictive models for six heart diseases using real-world electronic health records (EHRs) data. We incorporated a trainable decay mechanism to handle missing values in the long short-term memory (LSTM) model, creating LSTM-D models to predict heart disease risk based on longitudinal EHRs data. Additionally, we deployed NLP methods to extract breast cancer phenotypes from clinical texts, integrating unstructured and structured data to enhance predictions. Our LSTM-D models outperformed baseline models in predicting congestive heart failure, coronary artery disease, cardiomyopathy, myocardial infarction, transient ischemic attack, and aortic regurgitation, with AUC scores ranging from 0.7189 to 0.9548. Observation windows of 12-24 months were found optimal for model performance. This research advances precise, personalized care strategies, enabling early intervention and improved management of cardiovascular risks in breast cancer survivors.