Natural Language Processing for Depression Prediction on Sina Weibo: Method Study and Analysis

Abstract Background Depression represents a pressing global public health concern, impacting the physical and mental well-being of hundreds of millions worldwide. Notwithstanding advances in clinical practice, an alarming number of individuals at risk for depression continue to face significant barriers to timely diagnosis and effective treatment, thereby exacerbating a burgeoning social health crisis. Objective This study seeks to develop a novel online depression risk detection method using natural language processing technology to identify individuals at risk of depression on the Chinese social media platform Sina Weibo. Methods First, we collected approximately 527,333 posts publicly shared over 1 year from 1600 individuals with depression and 1600 individuals without depression on the Sina Weibo platform. We then developed a hierarchical transformer network for learning user-level semantic representations, which consists of 3 primary components: a word-level encoder, a post-level encoder, and a semantic aggregation encoder. The word-level encoder learns semantic embeddings from individual posts, while the post-level encoder explores features in user post sequences. The semantic aggregation encoder aggregates post sequence semantics to generate a user-level semantic representation that can be classified as depressed or nondepressed. Next, a classifier is employed to predict the risk of depression. Finally, we conducted statistical and linguistic analyses of the post content from individuals with and without depression using the Chinese Linguistic Inquiry and Word Count. Results We divided the original data set into training, validation, and test sets. The training set consisted of 1000 individuals with depression and 1000 individuals without depression. Similarly, each validation and test set comprised 600 users, with 300 individuals from both cohorts (depression and nondepression). Our method achieved an accuracy of 84.62%, precision of 84.43%, recall of 84.50%, and F 1 -score of 84.32% on the test set without employing sampling techniques. However, by applying our proposed retrieval-based sampling strategy, we observed significant improvements in performance: an accuracy of 95.46%, precision of 95.30%, recall of 95.70%, and F 1 -score of 95.43%. These outstanding results clearly demonstrate the effectiveness and superiority of our proposed depression risk detection model and retrieval-based sampling technique. This breakthrough provides new insights for large-scale depression detection through social media. Through language behavior analysis, we discovered that individuals with depression are more likely to use negation words (the value of “swear” is 0.001253). This may indicate the presence of negative emotions, rejection, doubt, disagreement, or aversion in individuals with depression. Additionally, our analysis revealed that individuals with depression tend to use negative emotional vocabulary in their expressions (“NegEmo”: 0.022306; “Anx”: 0.003829; “Anger”: 0.004327; “Sad”: 0.005740), which may reflect their internal negative emotions and psychological state. This frequent use of negative vocabulary could be a way for individuals with depression to express negative feelings toward life, themselves, or their surrounding environment. Conclusions The research results indicate the feasibility and effectiveness of using deep learning methods to detect the risk of depression. These findings provide insights into the potential for large-scale, automated, and noninvasive prediction of depression among online social media users.