Tax incentives play a crucial role in enhancing firm dynamism and aiding a nation in becoming a significant trade power. Drawing on data from the Annual Survey of Industrial Firms Database and the Chinese Customs Database for the period 2010 to 2013, this study employs a difference-in-differences approach to assess the impact of China’s transition from a business tax to a value-added tax (RBTVAT) on the export diversification of manufacturing firms. The findings indicate that the tax reform significantly decreases the number of export categories, increases export value, and elevates the export unit price for manufacturing firms. Specifically, by promoting specialized production and encouraging the manufacture of products with higher export tax rebate rates, the reforms have led firms to narrow their range of export categories. This effect is particularly pronounced among firms experiencing higher financing constraints, lower profitability, weaker innovation capabilities, and larger size. Furthermore, a consistent negative impact is observed for both state-owned and non-state-owned enterprises. These results provide novel insights and empirical evidence for understanding the relationship between tax reform and export diversification.
Fu et al. (Fri,) studied this question.