Orbit determination for non-cooperative targets represents a significant focus of research within the domain of space situational awareness. In contrast to cooperative targets, non-cooperative targets do not provide their orbital parameters, necessitating the use of observation data for accurate orbit determination. The increasing prevalence of low-cost, low-thrust spacecraft has heightened the demand for advancements in real-time orbit determination and parameter estimation for low-thrust maneuvers. This paper presents a novel dual-layer filter approach designed to facilitate real-time acceleration estimation for non-cooperative targets. Initially, the method employs a square-root cubature Kalman filter (SRCKF) to handle the nonlinearity of the system and a Jerk model to address the challenges in acceleration modeling, thereby yielding a preliminary estimation of the acceleration produced by the thruster of the non-cooperative target. Subsequently, a specialized filtering structure is established for the estimated acceleration, and two filtering frameworks are integrated into a dual-layer filter model via the cubature transform, significantly enhancing the estimation accuracy of acceleration parameters. Finally, to adapt to the potential on/off states of the thrusters, the Interacting Multiple Model (IMM) algorithm is employed to bolster the robustness of the proposed solution. Simulation results validate the effectiveness of the proposed method in achieving real-time orbit determination and acceleration estimation.
Wu et al. (Thu,) studied this question.