Time-Series Forecasting Model for Evaluating Reliability in Smallholder Farms Systems in Rwanda: A Theoretical Framework

This study aims to evaluate the reliability of smallholder farms systems in Rwanda by developing a time-series forecasting model. A theoretical framework will be developed, incorporating the application of a time-series forecasting model with robust standard errors to ensure reliable predictions. This theoretical framework provides a validated method for assessing the reliability of smallholder farms systems with practical application potential. Implementing this model can enhance decision-making and resource allocation in Rwanda's agricultural sector. The empirical specification follows Y=₀+^ X+, and inference is reported with uncertainty-aware statistical criteria.