A Data-Driven Two-Phase Energy Consumption Prediction Method for Injection Compressor Systems in Underground Gas Storage

Since the compressor system in underground gas storage (UGS) facilities operates under highly dynamic and complex injection conditions, traditional rule-based operation and mechanism-based modeling approaches prove inadequate for meeting the stringent requirements of high-accuracy prediction under such variable conditions. To address this, a data-driven two-phase prediction framework for compressor energy consumption is proposed. In the first phase, a convolutional neural network with efficient channel attention (CNN-ECA) is developed to accurately forecast key operating condition parameters. Based on these outputs, the second phase employs a compressor performance prediction model to estimate unit energy consumption with improved precision. In addition, a hybrid prediction strategy integrating a Transformer architecture is introduced to capture long-range temporal dependencies, thereby enhancing both single-step and multi-step forecasting performance. The proposed method is evaluated using operational data from eight compressors at the Xiangguosi underground gas storage. Experimental results show that the framework achieves high prediction accuracy, with a MAPE of 4.0779% (single-step) and 4.2449% (multi-step), outperforming advanced benchmark models.