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UK road accidents. Long run trends and persistence using fractional integration | Synapse
March 3, 2026
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UK road accidents. Long run trends and persistence using fractional integration
MT
Marta Torres-Polo
Universidad Autónoma de Madrid
LG
Luis Alberiko GIL-ALANA
Universidad Francisco de Vitoria
JV
Jorge Moya Velasco
Universidad Cardenal Herrera CEU
Key Points
Accident persistence is observed with significant long run trends in road accidents in the UK, highlighting societal impacts.
The analysis utilizes fractional integration to investigate time series data spanning several years.
Findings indicate that understanding these trends can help in formulating better road safety strategies.
The study may enable policymakers to address the growing concerns of road safety over time.
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Torres-Polo et al. (Mon,) studied this question.
synapsesocial.com/papers/69a76681badf0bb9e87dd42c
https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trip.2026.101882