Uncertainty quantification in the estimation of Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) in Iran: A comprehensive analysis

Key Points

• The estimated probable maximum precipitation (PMP) shows significant uncertainty, affecting climate projections in Iran.
• Utilizing advanced uncertainty quantification techniques, the study highlights critical variations in precipitation estimates.
• Assessment involved a comprehensive analysis of climate models over different Iranian regions with diverse climate patterns.
• Findings suggest the need for refined methods in estimating PMP, highlighting gaps in current climate assessment processes.