Accurately predicting the ultimate tensile strain of full-scale pipelines with unequal wall thickness containing cracked girth weld joints is essential for strain-based design, structural integrity assessment, and safe operation. However, many existing limit state prediction methods for full-scale girth welds are developed for equal wall thickness configurations or idealized geometries, and their applicability to unequal wall thickness conditions remains limited. To address this gap, this paper develops a limit state prediction model for the ultimate tensile strain of cracked girth welded joints in full-scale pipelines with unequal wall thickness. The model is established using a numerical database generated from finite element simulations, incorporating realistic pipe geometry, material properties, wall thickness mismatch, and representative crack defect characteristics. By considering the stress and strain concentration effects induced by geometric non-uniformity in the weld region, the proposed model provides a practical and efficient tool for limit state evaluation. During pipeline construction, it supports the formulation of quantitative requirements for key design and fabrication parameters, such as the strength matching level. During stable operation, it enables reliable prediction of the strain capacity of existing girth welds in pipelines with unequal wall thickness, thereby supporting integrity management and decision making for safe service.
Cao et al. (Mon,) studied this question.