Wildfires cause major damage, and their accurate detection is crucial. A common approach to near-real-time detection uses Geostationary (GEO) satellite algorithms. A standard scheme for evaluating the accuracy of a GEO-based algorithm is to compare its detections with higher-resolution Low Earth Orbit (LEO) images, considering the latter as ground truth. The primary objective of this study is to quantify the prevalence of GOES ABI/VIIRS fire detection misalignments and assess their impact on the accuracy evaluation of the GOES Fire Detection and Characterization (FDC) product. Thus, the key question is how this evaluation should be performed. To this end, a large dataset of matching FDC/VIIRS fire detections across Western U.S., Amazonas, and Patagonia was constructed. Our finding is that for nearly 12% of fire events, there are spatial misalignments between FDC and VIIRS detections. Next, we show that using VIIRS as ground truth without considering these misalignments yields highly biased estimates. This affects the evaluation of the FDC product detection capabilities. Finally, we demonstrate that using a GOES FDC/VIIRS buffer window substantially mitigates the effect of misalignments. For example, the estimated false alarm rate ranges between 26% and 36% without a window, whereas using a 3×3 window yields values between 7% and 15%.
Vanunu et al. (Mon,) studied this question.