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In the United States, osteoporosis affects over 10 million adults, has high societal costs (22 billion in 2008), and is currently being underdiagnosed and undertreated. Given an aging population, this burden is expected to rise. We projected the fracture burden in US women by modeling the expected demographic shift as well as potential policy changes. With the anticipated population aging and growth, annual fractures are projected to increase from 1. 9 million to 3. 2 million (68%), from 2018 to 2040, with related costs rising from 57 billion to over 95 billion. Policy-driven expansion of case finding and treatment of at-risk women could lower this burden, preventing 6. 1 million fractures over the next 22 years while reducing payer costs by 29 billion and societal costs by 55 billion. Increasing use of osteoporosis-related interventions can reduce fractures and result in substantial cost-savings, a rare and fortunate combination given the current landscape in healthcare policy. © 2019 The Authors. JBMR Plus published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.
Lewiecki et al. (Sat,) studied this question.