Predicting the Incidence Rate of Tuberculosis in Western Iran Using Time Series Models Before and After COVID-19.

Key Points

• To assess the impact of COVID-19 on tuberculosis patient detection in the Kurdistan region of Iran.
• Utilized time series models to predict tuberculosis incidence rates before and after COVID-19.
• Analyzed data from the Kurdistan region to evaluate patient detection trends.
• COVID-19 significantly hindered tuberculosis patient detection in the Kurdistan region.
• Guidelines are recommended to protect tuberculosis detection services amidst ongoing pandemic concerns.