Predictors of Long-Term (4-year) Mortality in Elderly and Young Patients with Acute Heart Failure

AIMS: The present study was designed to identify and compare predictors of short- and long-term mortality in elderly and young patients hospitalized with acute heart failure (HF). METHODS AND RESULTS: The risk of in-hospital, 1- and 4-year mortality was assessed among 2336 acute HF patients in a prospective national survey. Interaction-term analysis was utilized to identify and compare independent risk factors between elderly (>75 years n = 1182) and younger (< or =75 years n = 1154) study patients. Elderly patients exhibited a 1.8-fold (P = 0.004), 1.4-fold (P < 0.001), and 1.7-fold (P < 0.001) increase in the adjusted risk of in-hospital, 1-year, and 4-year mortality, respectively, as compared with younger patients. Independent risk factors for 4-year mortality among elderly patients included NYHA functional Class III-IV before admission (HR = 1.46, P < 0.001), systolic blood pressure <115 mmHg (HR = 1.45, P = 0.002), renal dysfunction (eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) HR = 1.35, P = 0.002), diabetes mellitus (HR = 1.28, P = 0.006), and anaemia (HR = 1.25, P = 0.012). In the young group, but not in the elderly group, left ventricle ejection fraction (LVEF) <50% and hyponatraemia (sodium <136 mmol/L) were significant predictors of 4-year mortality. (LVEF <50%, HR = 1.47 for the young and 1.04 for the elderly, P for interaction = 0.025; hyponatraemia HR = 1.59 for the young and 1.17 for the elderly, P for interaction = 0.035). CONCLUSION: Elderly patients exhibit different risk factors for long-term mortality as compared with young patients with acute HF. In contrast to younger patients, mortality risk in the older population is not decreased among those with preserved LVEF.