Does the Social Assistance Budget Realization Affect Incumbents' Votes? (Study in Indonesia Local Election)

Purpose: The objectives of this study are: (a) to examine the association between political budget and incumbents' regional head votes, (b) to examine the moderating effect of political competition in the association between political budget with incumbents' regional head votes. Theoretical framework: This article examines whether social assistance budget is associated with incumbents' votes in Indonesia’s local elections. Design/methodology/approach: The samples are 212 regencies and cities in Indonesia that conducted local electionsin which the incumbent regents or mayors were taking part. Hypotheses are tested using moderated regression analysis (MRA). Findings: The result found that social assistance budget directly affects the incumbent votes in the local elections. Research, Practical its interaction with social assistance budgets negatively affects the incumbents' votes.