U-Net-STN: A Novel End-to-End Lake Boundary Prediction Model

Detecting changes in land cover is a critical task in remote sensing image interpretation, with particular significance placed on accurately determining the boundaries of lakes. Lake boundaries are closely tied to land resources, and any alterations can have substantial implications for the surrounding environment and ecosystem. This paper introduces an innovative end-to-end model that combines U-Net and spatial transformation network (STN) to predict changes in lake boundaries and investigate the evolution of the Lake Urmia boundary. The proposed approach involves pre-processing annual panoramic remote sensing images of Lake Urmia, obtained from 1996 to 2014 through Google Earth Pro Version 7.3 software, using image segmentation and grayscale filling techniques. The results of the experiments demonstrate the model’s ability to accurately forecast the evolution of lake boundaries in remote sensing images. Additionally, the model exhibits a high degree of adaptability, effectively learning and adjusting to changing patterns over time. The study also evaluates the influence of varying time series lengths on prediction accuracy and reveals that longer time series provide a larger number of samples, resulting in more precise predictions. The maximum achieved accuracy reaches 89.3%. The findings and methodologies presented in this study offer valuable insights into the utilization of deep learning techniques for investigating and managing lake boundary changes, thereby contributing to the effective management and conservation of this significant ecosystem.