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The effect of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) type 1 envelope subtypes A and D on disease progression was investigated in 1045 adults in Uganda. At enrollment and every 6 months, a clinical history, examination, and laboratory investigations that included CD4 cell counts were done. HIV-1 envelope subtype was assessed mainly by peptide serology supplemented by heteroduplex mobility assay and DNA sequencing. A multivariate analysis of survival was performed to assess the prognostic value of HIV-1 subtype on death. A marginal general linear model also determined the effect of subtype on CD4 cell count during follow-up. Subtype D was associated with faster progression to death (relative risk, 1.29; 95% confidence interval, 1.07-1.56; P=.009) and with a lower CD4 cell count during follow-up (P=.001), compared with subtype A, after adjusting for CD4 cell count at enrollment. In Africa, envelope subtype D is associated with faster disease progression, compared with subtype A.
Kaleebu et al. (Wed,) studied this question.