Tidal energy assessment in tropical estuaries is constrained by low current velocities and high spatial variability, which limit conventional evaluation approaches. This study proposes a methodological framework adapted to velocity-constrained environments. The framework integrates ADCP-calibrated hydrodynamic modeling, velocity-exceedance-based site selection, low cut-in tidal turbine compatibility analysis, and a localized Levelized Cost of Energy evaluation within a unified decision-support structure. The methodology is applied to Buenaventura Bay, Colombia, where numerical simulations reproduce the mixed tidal regime with errors of approximately 0.30 m in water levels and 0.022 m/s in current velocities, enabling consistent characterization under low-flow conditions. Results at three locations indicate average available power densities of 64 W/m2 at La Bocana, 19 W/m2 at Buoy 29, and negligible values at Aguadulce, supporting the identification of marginal and non-viable sites based on velocity distributions. Under a low-velocity turbine configuration (10 m rotor diameter, 0.4 m/s cut-in speed), annual energy production is about 18 MWh per unit, while a 300-turbine array would generate approximately 5.4 GWh per year. The results indicate that annual energy production and capital expenditure are the main drivers of techno-economic feasibility in low-energy estuarine systems.
Rivera et al. (Thu,) studied this question.
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