The Evolution and Driving Factors of China’s Green Technology Transfer Network

Using a sample of 297 prefecture-level cities in China from 2010 to 2022 and drawing on green patent transfer data, this study constructs a directed weighted network and applies social network analysis, a modified gravity model, and quadratic assignment procedure (QAP) regression to examine the spatial structural evolution, node topology characteristics, and driving factors of China’s green technology transfer (GTT) network. The results show that: (1) From 2010 to 2022, the number of nodes grew from 249 to 292, network coverage increased from 83.8% to 98.3%, and the number of edges expanded by a factor of 14.47. Network density and average degree also rose markedly. The spatial structure evolved from an initially sparse and fragmented configuration into a polycentric complex network centered on the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region, the Yangtze River Delta, and the Chengdu–Chongqing economic circle. (2) In terms of node topology, the intermediary and control capacities of cities exhibit dynamic changes, with central and western cities gaining growing influence within the network. (3) Cohesive subgroup analysis identifies four functional blocks, revealing a multi-level technology spillover path of “core—secondary—regional—peripheral.” (4) QAP regression further identifies the digital economy, geographic location, high-speed rail mileage, industrial structure, and government environmental concern as key drivers of network formation and evolution. This study offers a new perspective on understanding cross-regional green technology transfer and provides theoretical grounding and policy references for promoting regional collaborative innovation and green low-carbon development.