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The individual-level effectiveness of vaccines against clinical disease caused by SARS-CoV-2 is well-established. However, few studies have directly examined the effect of COVID-19 vaccines on transmission. We quantified the effectiveness of vaccination with BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech mRNA-based vaccine) against household transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Israel. We fit two time-to-event models - a mechanistic transmission model and a regression model - to estimate vaccine effectiveness against susceptibility to infection and infectiousness given infection in household settings. Vaccine effectiveness against susceptibility to infection was 80-88%. For breakthrough infections among vaccinated individuals, the vaccine effectiveness against infectiousness was 41-79%. The overall vaccine effectiveness against transmission was 88.5%. Vaccination provides substantial protection against susceptibility to infection and slightly lower protection against infectiousness given infection, thereby reducing transmission of SARS-CoV-2 to household contacts. ONE-SENTENCE SUMMARY: Vaccination reduced both the rate of infection with SARS-CoV-2 and transmission to household contacts in Israel.
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Ottavia Prunas
Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute
Joshua L. Warren
Yale University
Forrest W. Crawford
Yale University
Yale University
University of New Haven
Yale New Haven Health System
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Prunas et al. (Fri,) studied this question.
synapsesocial.com/papers/6a1d1254102421609404ce4b — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.07.13.21260393