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In acute myeloid leukemia (AML), measurable residual disease (MRD) before or after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) is an established independent indicator of poor outcome. To address how peri-HCT MRD dynamics could refine risk assessment across different conditioning intensities, we analyzed 810 adults transplanted in first or second remission after myeloablative conditioning (MAC; n = 515) or non-MAC (n = 295) who underwent multiparameter flow cytometry-based MRD testing before as well as 20 to 40 days after allografting. Patients without pre- and post-HCT MRD (MRDneg/MRDneg) had the lowest risks of relapse and highest relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). Relative to those patients, outcomes for MRDpos/MRDpos and MRDneg/MRDpos patients were poor regardless of conditioning intensity. Outcomes for MRDpos/MRDneg patients were intermediate. Among 161 patients with MRD before HCT, MRD was cleared more commonly with a MAC (85 of 104; 81.7%) than non-MAC (33 of 57; 57.9%) regimen (P = .002). Although non-MAC regimens were less likely to clear MRD, if they did, the impact on outcome was greater. Thus, there was a significant interaction between conditioning intensity and "MRD conversion" for relapse (P = .020), RFS (P = .002), and OS (P = .001). Similar findings were obtained in the subset of 590 patients receiving HLA-matched allografts. C-statistic values were higher (indicating higher predictive accuracy) for peri-HCT MRD dynamics compared with the isolated use of pre-HCT MRD status or post-HCT MRD status for prediction of relapse, RFS, and OS. Across conditioning intensities, peri-HCT MRD dynamics improve risk assessment over isolated pre- or post-HCT MRD assessments in patients with AML.
Paras et al. (Fri,) studied this question.