Prognostic and Predictive Significance of HER2-low Expression in Metastatic Hormone Receptor Positive Breast Cancer Patients Receiving CDK4-6 Inhibitor Therapy

Objective: This study aimed to analyze the predictive and prognostic value of HER2-low expression in hormone receptor (HR) positive human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (HER2) negative metastatic breast cancer patients receiving cyclin-dependent kinase-4/6 inhibitor (CDK4/6i) therapy. Methods: This retrospective study included patients who received CDK4/6i plus endocrine therapy (ET). The pathological and clinical characteristics and survival times of the patients were compared and analyzed. Results: Our study included 122 patients. There were HER2-zero 88(72%) and HER2-low 34 (28%) patients. The median progression free survival (mPFS) of all patients who received CDK4/6i+ET was 21 (95% confidence interval (CI),18.5–23.5) months, while mPFS was not reached in the HER2-zero group, and mPFS in the HER2-low group was 12 (95%CI, 6.8–17.1) months (p=0.001). The mPFS was shorter in patients with primary endocrine resistance (6 vs. 21 months, p=0.001). There was a change in the HER2-low status of 26(45%) patients with recurrence compared to the first biopsy. In the HER2-zero and HER2-low groups, 22(25%) and 24(71%) patients, respectively, progressed with CDK4/6i+ET (p=0.001). Estrogen receptor (ER) levels less than and greater than 50% resulted different mPFS (6 and 21 months, respectively) (p=0.025). Median PFS differed based on CDK4/6i+ET combination, treatment line, and best treatment response (all p=0.001). In multivariate analysis, HER2 status(p=0.018), chemotherapy status(p=0.006), best response status with CDK4/6i (p=0.001) for PFS, and best response status with CDK4/6i therapy (p=0.007) for OS were significant. Conclusions: In patients with HR+HER- metastatic breast cancer receiving CDK4/6i therapy, the duration of mPFS was lower in the HER2-low group than that in the HER2-zero group. HER2-low expression is a predictive biomarker of response to CDK4/6 inhibitor therapy.