Study of the impact of climate change on the economy of the agricultural sector

Climate change is one of the main challenges of the modern era, as it not only triggers natural disasters but also influences social, economic, and demographic processes. For Kazakhstan, its destructive impacts make the study of climate risks and their consequences for the national economy highly relevant. The purpose of this research is to develop recommendations for ensuring sustainable agricultural development under climate change at the national level. Agriculture is traditionally viewed from two perspectives: as a sector highly vulnerable to global climate change and as a contributor to greenhouse gas emissions. The scientific significance of the study lies in the need for sciencebased recommendations for Kazakhstan’s adaptation to new climate realities. The proposed concepts identify key directions: innovative solutions to mitigate climate impacts, enhancement of agricultural insurance, wider adoption of organic practices, effective monitoring and evaluation of adaptation measures, and strategic planning for sustainable development and efficiency growth, considering the spatial distribution of agri-food production. The findings show that these directions should rely on comprehensiveness, strategic vision, and scientific justification. This approach will secure long-term resilience of the agrarian sector. The study also provides a regional assessment of climate risks across Kazakhstan and suggests recommendations to strengthen territorial resilience and adaptation capacity. The novelty of the research lies in the comprehensive assessment of climate change impacts on Kazakhstan’s agriculture through systemic, statistical, cartographic, and content analysis, enabling refined adaptation strategies and practical recommendations for agricultural policy