Abstract Modern vehicle architectures increasingly rely on distributed electronic control units, advanced driver-assistance systems, and infotainment-driven design, creating unprecedented system-level interdependence. While these innovations improve comfort, connectivity, and nominal safety, their impact on long-term reliability and fleet-scale risk remains underexplored in current validation practices. This article presents a system-level, reliability-oriented reassessment of automotive design. Rather than focusing on subsystem optimization, it reframes safety as a lifecycle reliability challenge that extends beyond hardware and software correctness. A quantitative framework is proposed to evaluate reliability at national, continental, and global fleet scales, demonstrating that even very low failure probabilities become significant when deployed across large fleets. The study combines reliability modeling, fleet exposure estimation, and a comparison of automotive functional safety standards (ISO 26262 and ISO 21448) with aeronautical and railway certification practices. Results reveal gaps in failure budgeting, architectural segregation, and enforceable lifecycle reliability assurance. Based on these findings, a reliability-driven design framework is outlined, emphasizing architectural simplification, isolation of safety-critical domains, verified redundancy, and modular separation of nonessential systems. The framework aims to guide automotive innovation that balances advanced functionality with transparent, verifiable, and durable system reliability.
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Piancastelli et al. (Thu,) studied this question.
synapsesocial.com/papers/69e3207940886becb653f8b7 — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1115/1.4071582
Luca Piancastelli
University of Bologna
Irene Giusti
University of Bologna
Marella De Santis
University of Bologna
ASME Open Journal of Engineering
University of Bologna
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