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May 30, 2025Marmara medical journal0 citationsOpen Access

Development of a scoring system to predict postoperative pulmonary complications in a tertiary care center

CDCeren DeğirmenciMuğla UniversityADAhmet Uğur DemırÇanakkale Onsekiz Mart ÜniversitesiLÇLütfi ÇöplüHacettepe University

Key Result

Upper abdominal incision significantly increased the risk of postoperative pulmonary complications within 30 days compared to other incisions (OR 3.71), and was incorporated into a novel predictive scoring system.

Study Design

Type

Observational (n=203)

Multicenter

No

Structured PICO

P
Population
203 adult patients (mean age 60.6 years, 55.7% female) referred to a pulmonology clinic for preoperative evaluation prior to surgery under general or regional anesthesia, followed for 30 days postoperatively.
O
Outcome
Postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) at the first monthcomposite

A novel scoring system incorporating surgery type, preoperative cough, and season of surgery can help predict postoperative pulmonary complications in patients referred for preoperative pulmonary evaluation.

Main Result

Odds Ratio: 3.71 (95% CI 1.845–7.461)

Absolute Event Rate: 50.9% vs 28.7%

p-value: p=<0.001

Limitations

  • Small number of patients
  • Single-center design
  • High-risk patients whose surgeries were canceled were excluded
  • Scoring system may not be capable of evaluating severely ill patients
  • Limited number of thoracic surgery patients included
  • Cardiac surgeries were excluded
  • Information about how long patients have been smoke-free was not analyzed

Abstract

Objective: There is no existing scoring system to predict postoperative risks, such as the Canet scoring system, for patients referred to pulmonology clinics.The aim of this study was to develop a scoring system to predict postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) in patients referred to the pulmonology clinics for preoperative evaluation. Patients ans Methods: This prospective, single-center study included patients referred for preoperative evaluation by surgical departments to the pulmonary medicine clinic at a tertiary care center. Preoperative demographic data and pulmonary evaluation results were recorded. Patients were followed postoperatively until discharge, with follow-up phone calls at the first month to assess pulmonary symptoms. Mortality data was recorded at the third month. Results: A total of 203 patients were included between January 2018 and February 2020. Of these, 55.7% were female, with a mean age of 60.59 years. PPC rate at the first month was 36.4%, and 22.7% had ongoing symptoms or new complications. The most common complication was bronchospasm (23.2%). Significant preoperative risk factors included surgery type, preoperative cough/dyspnea, and the season of surgery (p<0.05). Pulmonary complications were three times more frequent in patients undergoing upper abdominal or thoracic surgery. Conclusion: Avoiding surgery during symptomatic periods and making optimal preoperative preparations may reduce the PPC rates.

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Cite This Study

Değirmenci et al. (2025) conducted an observational in Patients referred for preoperative pulmonary evaluation (n=203). Upper abdominal incision vs. Other incision types was evaluated on Postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) within 30 days (OR 3.71, 95% CI 1.845-7.461, p=<0.001). Upper abdominal incision significantly increased the risk of postoperative pulmonary complications within 30 days compared to other incisions (OR 3.71), and was incorporated into a novel predictive scoring system.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a8b031122230c1854fb3e37https://doi.org/10.5472/marumj.1707988
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