Analysis of possibilities for stabilizing hydrocarbon production depending on the stage of development

Of key importance for planning the sustainable development of territories is the potential for stable production of hydrocarbon reserves, which can be expressed by the time of its duration. In the practice of developing oil and gas fields, two methods are known to stabilize production: through geological and technological measures that increase the productivity of wells and by regulating their operating modes. The second method, on the contrary, involves limiting the growth of selections at the initial stage of development. Due to this, the further decline in production turns out to be slower. Accordingly, the need for geological and technological measures is also decreasing. To describe the quantitative characteristics of production stabilization in both cases, a mathematical apparatus has been developed, based on the equations of state of hydrocarbons, the laws of underground hydrodynamics, as well as the work of specialists in the field of analysis and forecasting of the production of hydrocarbon reserves. It has been established that the processes of development of recoverable reserves of both oil and gas are subject to the same laws, and therefore can be described by means of one generalizing equation. Based on the equation, formulas are derived for calculating the duration of a stable production period depending on both the efficiency of intensification technologies and the degree of capacity redundancy, as well as the availability of recoverable reserves and the degree of their production. Calculations of the duration of the stable production stage for specific geological and technological conditions are presented. Keywords: hydrocarbon production; geological and technological measures; operating mode; reserves development.