Bulgaria’s crisis will deepen after elections

Significance Opinion polls suggest another inconclusive parliamentary election outcome, although the right-wing Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria (GERB) is projected to win the largest share of the vote. Despite holding its sixth parliamentary poll in three years, the country seems no closer to resolving its political crisis. Impacts Sofia’s support for Ukraine is likely to continue, despite Revival’s potential electoral gains. Bulgaria is unlikely to clear the criteria necessary to adopt the euro this year. President Rumen Radev may seek closer relations with GERB and DPS. GERB and DPS will exert significant influence through the caretaker government if no viable coalition emerges after the general elections.