Identifying Suitable Patients for Overcoming Androgen Deprivation Monotherapy in De Novo Metastatic Hormone-Sensitive Prostate Cancer

Although metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) treatments have evolved, androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) remains a widely used regimen. Therefore, this study sought patients who did not progress to castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) but received ADT monotherapy and factors affecting overall survival (OS) in de novo mHSPC. De novo mHSPC patients who received ADT treatment were included. ADT included luteinizing hormone-releasing hormone agonists with or without anti-androgen. The total cohort was divided into two groups relative to CRPC progression within two years. Logistic analysis was used to identify factors that did not progress CRPC within two years. Cox regression was used to assess the independent predictors for OS. The total cohort was divided into the no-CRPC within two years group (n = 135) and the CRPC within two years group (n = 126). Through multivariate logistic analysis, the life expectancy (odds ratio OR 0.95, 95% CI 0.91-0.99, p = 0.014) and Gleason scores (≥9 vs. ≤8; OR 0.43, 95% CI 0.24-0.75, p = 0.003) were associated with the group without castration-resistant prostate cancer progression within two years. The multivariate Cox model revealed that life expectancy (hazard ratio HR 0.951, 95% CI 0.904-0.999, p = 0.0491), BMI (HR 0.870, 95% CI 0.783-0.967, p = 0.0101), and CCI (≥2 vs. <2; HR 2.018, 95% CI 1.103-3.693, p = 0.0227) were significant predictive factors for OS. Patients with long life expectancy and a Gleason score of 9 or more were more likely to develop mCRPC while alive. Patients with short life expectancy, low BMI, and worsening comorbidity were more likely to die before progressing to CRPC. Although intensified treatment is essential for oncologic outcomes in mHSPC, shared decision making is integral for patients who may not benefit from this treatment.