Identification and validation of a novel signature based on macrophage marker genes for predicting prognosis and drug response in kidney renal clear cell carcinoma by integrated analysis of single cell and bulk RNA sequencing

Macrophages are found in a variety of tumors and play a critical role in shaping the tumor microenvironment, affecting tumor progression, metastasis, and drug resistance. However, the clinical relevance of marker genes associated with macrophage in kidney renal clear cell carcinoma (KIRC) has yet to be documented. In this study, we initiated a thorough examination of single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) data for KIRC retrieved from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database and determined 244 macrophage marker genes (MMGs). Univariate analysis, LASSO regression, and multivariate regression analysis were performed to develop a five-gene prognostic signature in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database, which could divide KIRC patients into low-risk (L-R) and high-risk (H-R) groups. Then, a nomogram was constructed to predict the survival rate of KIRC patients at 1, 3, and 5 years, which was well assessed by receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analyses (DCA). Functional enrichment analysis showed that immune-related pathways (such as immunoglobulin complex, immunoglobulin receptor binding, and cytokine-cytokine receptor interaction) were mainly enriched in the H-R group. Additionally, in comparison to the L-R cohort, patients belonging to the H-R cohort exhibited increased immune cell infiltration, elevated expression of immune checkpoint genes (ICGs), and a higher tumor immune dysfunction and exclusion (TIDE) score. This means that patients in the H-R group may be less sensitive to immunotherapy than those in the L-R group. Finally, IFI30 was validated to increase the ability of KIRC cells to proliferate, invade and migrate in vitro. In summary, our team has for the first time developed and validated a predictive model based on macrophage marker genes to accurately predict overall survival (OS), immune characteristics, and treatment benefit in KIRC patients.