Abyei conflict may trigger wider unrest in South Sudan

Significance Government attempts to stop the clashes have been ineffective, and both sides have used Nuer forces from elsewhere in South Sudan, risking a broadening conflict. Impacts A government offensive against Machiek may intensify cleavages within his Bul Nuer community, risking conflict in Mayom, Unity State. Continuing Ngok-Twic clashes could leave Abyei further adrift from South Sudan, which Sudanese forces may seek to exploit. A blockade of Abyei’s southern border and disruptions caused by Sudan’s civil war may intensify an already dire humanitarian situation.