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Accurate prediction of land surface temperature (LST) is critical for remote sensing applications, yet remains hindered by in situ data scarcity, limited input variables, and regional variability. To address these limitations, we introduce a three-stage strategic fine-tuning-based transfer learning (SFTL) framework that integrates a large simulated dataset (430 K samples), in situ measurements from the Heihe and Huailai regions in China, and high-resolution imagery from the GF5-02 Visible and Infrared Multispectral Imager (VIMI). The key novelty of this study is the combination of large-scale simulation, an engineered humidity-sensitive feature, and multiple parameter-efficient tuning strategies—full, head, gradual, adapter, and low-rank adaptation (LoRA)—within a unified transfer-learning framework for cross-site LST estimation. In Stage 1, pre-training with 5-fold cross-validation on the simulated dataset produced strong baseline models, including Random Forest (RF), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM), Deep Neural Network (DNN), Transformer (TrF), and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). In Stage 2, strategic fine-tuning was conducted under two cross-regional scenarios—Heihe-to-Huailai and Huailai-to-Heihe—and model transfer for tree-based learners. Fine-tuning achieved competitive in-domain performance while materially improving cross-site transfer. When trained on Huailai and tested on Heihe, DNN-gradual attained RMSE 2.89 K (R2 ≈ 0.96); when trained on Heihe and tested on Huailai, TrF-head achieved RMSE 3.34 K (R2 ≈ 0.94). In Stage 3, sensitivity analyses confirmed stability across IQR multipliers of 1.0–1.5, with <1% RMSE variation across models and sites, indicating robustness against outliers. Additionally, application to real GF5-02 VIMI imagery demonstrated that the best SFTL configurations aligned with spatiotemporal in situ observations at both sites, capturing the expected spatial gradients. Overall, the proposed SFTL framework—anchored in cross-validation, strategic fine-tuning, and large-scale simulation—outperforms the widely used Split-Window (SW) algorithm (Huailai: RMSE = 3.64 K; Heihe: RMSE = 4.22 K) as well as direct-training Machine Learning (ML) models, underscoring their limitations in modeling complex regional variability.
Heidarian et al. (Sun,) studied this question.
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