What question did this study set out to answer?

To discuss forecasting approaches and their evolution regarding the German federal elections.

December 15, 2025

Forecasting the 2025 German Election: An Introduction

Puntos clave

To discuss forecasting approaches and their evolution regarding the German federal elections.
Highlighting the role of PS: Political Science & Politics in publishing forecasts.
Detailing the methodology and models used in election forecasting.
Presenting insights from past symposia on German elections.
The symposium marks the fourth installment focusing on election forecasting.
Various sophisticated models are explored to enhance accuracy in forecasting.
Continued academic interest and growth in the field of election forecasting.

Resumen

German federal elections have long drawn international attention due to the country’s economic influence and its pivotal role in the European Union. Over time, forecasting these elections has evolved into a sophisticated discipline, incorporating diverse models and refined methodologies to improve accuracy. Since 2013, PS: Political Science Jérôme and Graefe 2022). This 2025 symposium marks the fourth installment, continuing a tradition of providing scholars with a platform to share insights and reflect on the field’s ongoing expansion.

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