Decoding Ukraine's naval victories: A logic model approach This article introduces the Black Sea Battle Lab (BBL) logic model, a framework designed to trace how Ukraine’s operational responses to Russia’s invasion link strategic pressures to measurable outcomes and broader doctrinal insights. Russia’s illegal full-scale invasion of Ukraine has turned the Black Sea into a contested maritime domain, where securing Sea Lines of Communication (SLOCs) is essential 1 not only for enabling Ukraine’s path to victory, but also for protecting global export routes and energy transit corridors 2. Despite initial setbacks, Ukraine has demonstrated remarkable resolve and combat efficiency, most notably through the use of technology, decentralized command structures, and coalition building 3. These efforts have challenged conventional military doctrines and reshaped strategic thinking on naval warfare.
Jostein Mattingsdal (Mon,) studied this question.