March 3, 2026Open Access

A KRLS-Based Incremental Analysis for Disaggregated Energy Security Risk Effect on Energy Transition in the USA

Puntos clave

Economic energy security risk reduces the energy transition index, while environmental risk increases it.
The study assesses the marginal effects of energy security risks across different percentiles of the energy transition index.
Findings show that geopolitical and reliability energy security risks do not significantly impact the energy transition index.
Variation in marginal effects indicates that energy security risks affect different sectors of the economy in distinct ways.

Resumen

In light of recent developments in energy security and energy transition, this study examines the effects of disaggregated energy security risk (ESR) on the energy transition index (ETI). Economic ESR reduces ETI, while environmental ESR increases it. Geopolitical and reliability ESRs have no significant impact on ETI. Additionally, the marginal effects of these variables differ across percentiles. Therefore, the study uncovers both average and percentile-based variations in the marginal effects of ESR on ETI.

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