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The Macroeconomic Effects of Import Tariffs on the Euro Area: A Model-Based Assessment | Synapse
March 3, 2026
Open Access
The Macroeconomic Effects of Import Tariffs on the Euro Area: A Model-Based Assessment
AB
Anna Bartocci
AC
Alessandro Cantelmo
PC
Pietro Cova
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Puntos clave
Import tariffs affect economic performance across the euro area, influencing trade dynamics and growth rates.
The analysis indicates a notable GDP contraction of approximately 0.5% under certain tariff scenarios within a year.
Model-based assessment simulates various trade policy frameworks and their potential macroeconomic outcomes.
This model-based approach highlights the need for careful consideration of trade policies, especially in a global context.
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Bartocci et al. (Thu,) studied this question.
synapsesocial.com/papers/69a76003c6e9836116a2c6a5
https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.6173082
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