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Wishful thinking in mass–elite electoral expectations | Synapse
March 3, 2026
Wishful thinking in mass–elite electoral expectations
PM
Philippe Mongrain
AK
Anam Kuraishi
KS
Karolin Soontjens
University of Antwerp
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Puntos clave
Mass electoral expectations may not align with elite electoral expectations, highlighting a gap in political understanding.
This analysis uses a framework of wishful thinking to explore differing perceptions of election outcomes.
The approach focuses on political behavior by examining expectations from both voters and elites during electoral cycles.
Understanding these dynamics may inform future political strategies and voter engagement efforts.
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Mongrain et al. (Fri,) studied this question.
synapsesocial.com/papers/69a768adbadf0bb9e87e5906
https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2026.103059