All cases observed so far fall within the anchor-dominant regime (stable conditions). No transition into the critical zone (−0.2 < M ≤ 0) is observed. Critical-regime validation is pending. This record presents the ASA V0.2.1 Methods Core (DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.19396794) and first-pass empirical results across four Icelandic cases (Eyjafjallajökull 2010, Grímsvötn 2011, Reykjanes 2023–2024, financial crisis 2008–09). All runs follow the same protocol and use the Ablation A specification (R without Rinfra). Results are provisional and require independent validation.
Omri Bankuti (Fri,) studied this question.
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