Do initial and longitudinal changes in C-reactive protein predict the risk of cardiovascular disease, cancer, and mortality in the general population?
Both initial levels and subsequent increases in C-reactive protein are significant predictors of future cardiovascular disease, cancer, and mortality in the general population.
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the value of serial C-reactive protein (CRP) measurements in predicting the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, and mortality. METHODS: The analysis was performed using data from two prospective, population-based observational cohorts: the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease (PREVEND) study and the Framingham Heart Study (FHS). A total of 9253 participants had CRP measurements available at two examinations (PREVEND: 1997-1998 and 2001-2002; FHS Offspring cohort: 1995-1998 and 1998-2001). All CRP measurements were natural log-transformed before analyses. Cardiovascular disease included fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular, cerebrovascular and peripheral vascular events, and heart failure. Cancer included all malignancies except nonmelanoma skin cancers. RESULTS: <.001 in the multivariable model). Baseline CRP, as well as increase in CRP over time (ΔCRP), were associated with incident CVD (hazard ratio HR: 1.29 per 1-SD increase; 95% confidence interval CI: 1.29 to 1.47, and HR per 1-SD increase: 1.19; 95% CI: 1.09 to 1.29 respectively). Similar findings were observed for incident cancer (baseline CRP, HR: 1.17; 95% CI: 1.09 to 1.26; ΔCRP, HR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.15) and mortality (baseline CRP, HR: 1.29; 95% CI: 1.21 to 1.37; ΔCRP, HR: 1.10; 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.16). CONCLUSION: Initial as well as subsequent increases in CRP levels predict future CVD, cancer, and mortality in the general population.
Suthahar et al. (Sat,) studied this question.