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May 8, 2026International Review of Economics & Finance0 citationsOpen Access

Contagion Risks of Air Pollution Control Policies on the China Energy Stock Returns

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CHCody Yu-Ling HsiaoMacau University of Science and TechnologyBLBaiyu LiuJilin Province Science and Technology DepartmentYCYi‐Bin ChiuSouthwestern University of Finance and Economics

Key Points

  • This research investigates the effects of air pollution control policies in China on energy stock returns from 2013 to 2024.
  • Analyzed air pollution control policies impact on energy markets from 2013 to 2024.
  • Utilized individual and multiple-dependence contagion tests along with policy announcement sensitivity index and network analysis.
  • Considered four policy types and 12 energy segments in the analysis.
  • Market-based environmental regulations demonstrated the strongest contagion effects on energy stock returns.
  • Transportation emission controls closely followed but were less impactful than market-based regulations.
  • Photovoltaic power was the most affected sector, while the coal sector exhibited the least vulnerability.

Abstract

Given the urgent challenge of extreme climate change and global warming, it is crucial to investigate how air pollution control policies can reduce carbon emissions. This paper analyzes the impact of China’s air pollution control policies (2013-2024) on energy markets. Using the individual and multiple-dependence contagion tests, along with a policy announcement sensitivity index and network analysis, the study quantifies the intensity and direction of risk transmission within energy sectors. The results show that, among the four policy types, market-based environmental regulations exhibit the strongest contagion effects, followed closely by transportation emission controls, while national development plans and energy structure adjustments have the weakest influence. Among the 12 energy segments, photovoltaic power is the most susceptible to policy disruptions, followed by wind and fuel cells, with the coal sector showing the least vulnerability. Network analysis reveals that market-based environmental policies are the most systemically connected, followed by transportation controls, whereas the other two policy types exhibit limited contagion potential.

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Cite This Study

Hsiao et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69fd7ddcbfa21ec5bbf060fehttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2026.105358
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