What is the incidence of rupture, repair, and death in patients with small and large abdominal aortic aneurysms under surveillance?
The low rupture risk in small AAAs supports conservative management with surveillance, whereas large AAAs show high rupture risk, though data are limited by populations unfit for surgery.
BACKGROUND: The ultimate goal of treating patients with abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) is to repair them when the risk of rupture exceeds the risk of repair. Small AAAs demonstrate a low rupture risk, and recently, large AAAs just above the threshold (5.5-6.0 cm) seem to be at low risk of rupture as well. The present review aims to investigate the outcomes of AAAs under surveillance through a comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis. METHODS: , the heterogeneity might be negligible (0-40%), moderate (30-60%), substantial (50-90%), and considerable (75-100%). The primary outcome was the incidence of AAA rupture. Secondary outcomes included the rate of small AAAs reaching the threshold for repair, aortic-related mortality, and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: = 89.1%) of all-cause mortality. The sensitivity analysis demonstrated a higher rupture rate in studies including 72 years, >17% of female patients, and >44% of current smokers. CONCLUSION: The rarity of rupture and aortic-related mortality in small AAAs supports the current conservative management of small AAAs. Surveillance seems indicated, as one-fifth reached the threshold for repair. Large aneurysms had a high incidence of rupture and aortic-related mortality. However, these data seem biased by the sparse and heterogeneous literature overrepresented by patients unfit for surgery. Specific rupture risk stratified by age, gender, and fit-for-surgery patients with large AAAs needs to be further investigated.
Leone et al. (Sun,) studied this question.