A95-03 Small Increases in Caliper Quantified Volumes of Ground Glass Opacities, Reticular Densities, and Pulmonary Related Vascular Structures on Baseline CT Associate With Increased Transplant/Mortality Risk in Systemic Sclerosis Associated Interstitial Lung Disease

Abstract Rationale Interstitial lung disease (ILD) affects ∼50% of patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) and is a leading cause of mortality. Visual assessment of ILD extent and morphologies, including ground-glass opacities (GGO) and reticular densities (RD), suffers from poor interobserver agreement, limiting prognostic consistency. CALIPER Quantitative CT (QCT) provides reproducible volumetric measures of parenchymal and vascular features. This study evaluated baseline QCT-derived lung features for association with transplant/mortality risk in SSc-ILD. Methods A retrospective cohort of SSc patients (≥18 years) seen at an academic center from 2007-2018 was identified using ICD codes, with ACR/EULAR 2013 SSc criteria confirmed by chart review. Inclusion required ILD on high-resolution CT (HRCT) ±2 years of SSc diagnosis, and PFTs ±6 months of HRCT. CALIPER quantified volumes of normal lung, GGO, RD, hyperlucency, honeycombing (HC), and pulmonary vascular-related structures (PVRS), which are expressed as percentages of total lung volume. Right heart catheterization confirmed pulmonary hypertension (PH) defined by 2022 ESC/ERS criteria (Eur Heart J, 2022). Cox hazards models assessed associations with combined mortality/transplant outcome, a priori adjusted for age, sex, diffuse SSc subtype, ILD duration, and PH (Column B), and further adjusted for baseline percent predicted FVC (ppFVC) and ppDLCO (Column C)(Table 1). Results Of 132 SSc-ILD patients, median SSc and ILD disease durations at HRCT were 1.4 (0.6, 2.4) and 0.0 (0.0, 0.5) years. Median feature percentages: total ILD 13.0% (IQR: 6.4, 21.0), GGO 10.2% (4.6, 16.9), RD 1.9% (0.8, 3.7), HC 0.03% (0.00, 0.09), PVRS 3.2% (2.3, 4.1). Median ppFVC was 81.1% (69.4, 92.6), and ppDLCO 60.0% (46.0, 75.7); 21 patients had PH. There were 2 transplants and 45 deaths. Every 5% increase in baseline total ILD and GGO associated with 22% (HR 1.22; 95% CI 1.12-1.33) and 24% (1.24; 1.12-1.36) higher risk of transplant/mortality on unadjusted models (Column A), respectively, remaining significant after a priori (CB) and full adjustment (CC)(Table 1). Every 1% increase in RD and PVRS conferred 19% (1.19; 1.08-1.31) and 33% (1.33; 1.08-1.63) higher risk of transplant/mortality in unadjusted models (CA); RD retained significance after a priori adjustment (1.17; 1.03-1.33), while PVRS trended non-significant in adjusted models. Conclusions In early SSc-ILD, QCT-derived GGO, RD, and PVRS provide robust prognostic value for mortality/transplant risk assessment, with small increases in baseline severity—at or below visual detection thresholds—associating with clinically meaningful risk increases. These findings support integrating baseline QCT biomarkers into risk stratification beyond clinical and PFT measures. This abstract is funded by: Rheumatology Research Foundation