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The phytoplankton community of eutrophic shallow lakes is often dominated by filamentous cyanobacteria of the family Oscillatoriaceae. In this paper we follow two independent approaches to show that this situation is likely to be one of two alternative stable states of the algal community. First we analyze patterns of cyanobacterial dominance observed in the field, and show that these patterns imply that the algal community is a hysteretic system with two alternative equilibria. Then, we construct a simple competition model to show that hysteresis should in fact be expected from differences in physiology between cyanobacteria and algae. The basic mechanism is that cyanobacteria are the superior competitors under conditions of low light, but also promote such conditions, as they can cause a higher turbidity per unit of phosphorus than other algae. This mechanism of hysteresis offers an explanation for the resistance of cyanobacteria dominance in shallow lakes to restoration efforts by means of nutrient reduction.
Scheffer et al. (Wed,) studied this question.
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