Devaluation and the trade balance in India: stationarity and cointegration

Abstract A study of devaluation and the trade balance in India corrects the data for nonstationarity. Previous empirical tests have used non-stationary data. The trade balance in India is not cointegrated with a number of variables, including the exchange rate. Absorption, elasticity, and monetary models are compared, and the monetary model performs better. There has been no J-curve in India, and devaluations have had no significant long-run effect on the trade balance.