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May 30, 2026Journal of Clinical Oncology0 citations

A cardio-oncologic burden: Leukemia-associated arrhythmia mortality in the United States (1999-2023).

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FCFasil ChirankaraEKElangovan KrishnanSASophia Ahmed

Key Result

Leukemia-associated arrhythmia mortality in the US increased substantially from 1999 to 2023, with a marked acceleration between 2018 and 2021 (APC 15.9%, P=0.005).

Key Points

  • This study aims to examine long-term mortality trends related to leukemia and cardiac arrhythmias in adults aged 45 and older.
  • Analyzed CDC WONDER Multiple Cause of Death database data from 1999 to 2023
  • Included deaths among adults aged ≥45 years with leukemia and arrhythmias as causes
  • Calculated age-adjusted mortality rates and employed Joinpoint regression for trend analysis.
  • 32,350 deaths occurred among adults aged ≥45 years with leukemia and arrhythmias from 1999-2023
  • Mortality increased from 1.18 to 1.74 per 100,000 (APC 15.9%, P=0.005) between 2018-2021, followed by a nonsignificant decline
  • Mortality rates doubled among adults aged 45-64 years (AAPC 4.35%, P=0.002) and showed disparities based on race, with higher rates in White individuals (AAPC 3.90%, P<0.001).

Study Design

Type

Observational (n=32,350)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

P
Population
32,350 deaths among adults aged ≥45 years with leukemia (ICD-10 C91–C95) and cardiac arrhythmias (ICD-10 I47–I49) listed as underlying or contributing causes in the United States (1999-2023).
O
Outcome
Leukemia-associated arrhythmia mortality trends (Age-adjusted mortality rates, annual percent change, and average annual percent change)hard clinical

Leukemia-associated arrhythmia mortality in the US has increased substantially over the past 25 years, with a pronounced acceleration between 2018 and 2021, highlighting the need for enhanced cardio-oncology care.

Main Result

Effect estimate: APC 15.9%

p-value: p=0.005

Abstract

e18634 Background: Leukemia remains a major contributor to cancer-related mortality in the United States. Cardiac arrhythmias are common in patients with leukemia due to pre-existing cardiovascular disease, myocardial infiltration, chronic inflammation, and treatment-related cardiotoxicity. However, national long-term mortality trends involving both conditions are poorly characterized. We examined temporal patterns and demographic and geographic disparities in leukemia-associated arrhythmia mortality among middle-aged and older adults. Methods: We analyzed U.S. mortality data from the CDC WONDER Multiple Cause of Death database (1999–2023). Deaths among adults aged ≥45 years with leukemia (ICD-10 C91–C95) and cardiac arrhythmias (ICD-10 I47–I49) listed as underlying or contributing causes were included. Analyses were stratified by age, sex, race, census region, state, urbanization, and place of death. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) were calculated using the 2000 U.S. standard population. Joinpoint regression estimated annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC); P < 0.05 was considered significant. Results: From 1999–2023, 32,350 deaths occurred among adults aged ≥45 years with leukemia and arrhythmias. Mortality increased gradually from 1999–2018 (APC 2.79%), followed by a marked rise from 2018–2021, with AAMRs increasing from 1.18 to 1.74 (APC 15.9%, P = 0.005), and a subsequent nonsignificant decline after 2021 (APC −2.0%, P = 0.64). Similar surges were observed in males (APC 12.78%) and females (APC 14.86%). AAMRs doubled among adults aged 45–64 years (AAPC 4.35%, P = 0.002) and ≥65 years (AAPC 3.97%, P < 0.001). Mortality increased significantly among White individuals (AAPC 3.90%, P < 0.001) but remained stable among Black individuals (AAPC 2.83%, P = 0.076). All census regions showed rising trends, greatest in the South (AAPC 4.72%) and West (4.58%). Rates increased in both metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas. Most deaths occurred in inpatient facilities (43%), followed by homes (27%). Conclusions: Leukemia-associated arrhythmia mortality has increased substantially over the past 25 years, with a pronounced acceleration between 2018 and 2021. Persistent demographic and regional disparities underscore the need for enhanced cardio-oncology integration, arrhythmia surveillance, and targeted cardiovascular risk management in patients with leukemia.

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Cite This Study

Chirankara et al. (2026) conducted an observational in Leukemia and cardiac arrhythmias (n=32,350). Leukemia-associated arrhythmia mortality in the US increased substantially from 1999 to 2023, with a marked acceleration between 2018 and 2021 (APC 15.9%, P=0.005).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a1a820e0307b78509433be5https://doi.org/10.1200/jco.2026.44.16_suppl.e18634
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