What does this research mean for the field?

North Dakota, South Dakota, and Minnesota are projected to receive a combined 7.25 million additional farm base acres under the OBBBA of 2025, accounting for approximately 24 percent of the 30 million national cap. Novelty: ClaimNovelty.INCREMENTAL. Consensus alignment: ConsensusAlignment.NEUTRAL.

What question did this study set out to answer?

To estimate the additional base acres authorized by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act for certain Upper Midwest states.

May 31, 2026Open Access

Additional Base Acres in the Upper Midwest for Crop Year 2026

Puntos clave

To estimate the additional base acres authorized by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act for certain Upper Midwest states.
County-level estimates of additional base acres for North Dakota, South Dakota, and Minnesota were calculated.
Data analyzed includes projections of 7.25 million additional base acres across the three states.
North Dakota is estimated to receive 2.88 million acres, the highest among the three states.
Minnesota is projected to receive 2.21 million acres, while South Dakota is expected to gain 2.16 million acres.
Collectively, these estimates represent approximately 24 percent of the 30 million national cap set by the legislation.

Resumen

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) of 2025 authorizes the first net expansion of farm base acres since the 2002 Farm Bill. This brief presents county-level estimates of additional base acres for North Dakota, South Dakota, and Minnesota. The three states are expected to receive a combined 7.25 million additional base acres representing approximately 24 percent of the 30 million national cap. North Dakota leads with 2.88 million acres, followed by Minnesota (2.21 million) and South Dakota (2.16 million).

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