Germline genetic variation in JAK2 as a prognostic marker in castration‐resistant prostate cancer

Objectives To evaluate the prognostic significance of germline variation in candidate genes in patients with castration‐resistant prostate cancer (CRPC). Methods Germline DNA was extracted from peripheral blood mononuclear cells of patients with CRPC enrolled in a clinically annotated registry. Fourteen candidate genes implicated in either initiation or progression of prostate cancer were tagged using single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) from HapMap with a minor allele frequency of >5%. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS), defined as time from development of CRPC to death. Principal component analysis was used for gene levels tests of significance. For SNP‐level results the per allele hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) under the additive allele model were estimated using Cox regression, adjusted for age at CRPC and Gleason score (GS). Results A total of 240 patients with CRPC were genotyped (14 genes; 84 SNPs). The median (range) age of the cohort was 69 (43–93) years. The GS distribution was 55% with GS ≥8, 32% with GS = 7 and 13% with GS <7 or unknown. The median (interquartile range) time from castration resistance to death for the cohort was 2.67 (1.6–4.07) years (144 deaths). At the gene level, a single gene, JAK2 was associated with OS ( P < 0.01), and 11 of 18 JAK2 SNPs were individually associated with OS after adjustment for age and GS. A multivariate model consisting of age, GS, rs2149556 (HR 0.67; 95% CI 0.38–1.18) and rs4372063 (HR 2.17; 95% CI 1.25–3.76) was constructed to predict survival in patients with CRPC (concordance of 0.69, P < 3.2 × 10 −9 ). Conclusions Germline variation in the JAK2 gene was associated with survival in patients with CRPC and warrants further validation as a potential prognostic biomarker.