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August 17, 2026Journal of the American College of Cardiology670 citationsOpen Access

Stroke with intermittent atrial fibrillation: incidence and predictors during aspirin therapy

RHRobert G. HartLPLesly A. PearceRRRobert M. Rothbart

Key Result

In patients treated with aspirin, intermittent atrial fibrillation was associated with a similar annualized rate of ischemic stroke (3.2%) compared to sustained atrial fibrillation (3.3%).

Key Points

  • To characterize the incidence and clinical predictors of ischemic stroke in patients with recurrent intermittent atrial fibrillation receiving aspirin therapy compared to those with sustained atrial fibrillation.
  • Conducted a longitudinal cohort study comparing 460 participants with intermittent atrial fibrillation and 1,552 with sustained atrial fibrillation treated with aspirin in the Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation studies.
  • Followed participants for a mean of two years and identified independent risk factors for ischemic stroke using multivariate analysis.
  • Annualized rates of ischemic stroke were 3.2% in patients with intermittent atrial fibrillation and 3.3% in those with sustained atrial fibrillation.
  • Independent predictors of ischemic stroke in intermittent atrial fibrillation were advancing age (RR = 2.1 per decade, p < 0.001), hypertension (RR = 3.4, p = 0.003), and prior stroke (RR = 4.1, p = 0.01).
  • High-risk patients with intermittent atrial fibrillation (24% of the cohort) experienced an observed stroke rate of 7.8% per year (95% CI, 4.5 to 14).

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=2,012)

Structured PICO

Does intermittent atrial fibrillation carry a similar risk of ischemic stroke compared to sustained atrial fibrillation in patients treated with aspirin?

P
Population
2,012 patients with intermittent or sustained atrial fibrillation treated with aspirin, followed for a mean of two years.
E
Exposure
Intermittent atrial fibrillation
C
Comparator
Sustained atrial fibrillation
O
Outcome
Ischemic strokehard clinical

Patients with intermittent AF have stroke rates similar to those with sustained AF, indicating that high-risk patients with intermittent AF should be considered for anticoagulation.

Main Result

Absolute Event Rate: 3.2% vs 3.3%

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: This study was performed to characterize the risk of stroke in elderly patients with recurrent intermittent atrial fibrillation (AF). BACKGROUND: Although intermittent AF is common, relatively little is known about the attendant risk of stroke. METHODS: A longitudinal cohort study was performed comparing 460 participants with intermittent AF with 1,552 with sustained AF treated with aspirin in the Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation studies and followed for a mean of two years. Independent risk factors for ischemic stroke were identified by multivariate analysis. RESULTS: Patients with intermittent AF were, on average, younger (66 vs. 70 years, p < 0.001), were more often women (37% vs. 26% p < 0.001) and less often had heart failure (11% vs. 21%, p < 0.001) than those with sustained AF. The annualized rate of ischemic stroke was similar for those with intermittent (3.2%) and sustained AF (3.3%). In patients with intermittent AF, independent predictors of ischemic stroke were advancing age (relative risk RR = 2.1 per decade, p < 0.001), hypertension (RR = 3.4, p = 0.003) and prior stroke (RR = 4.1, p = 0.01). Of those with intermittent AF predicted to be high risk (24%), the observed stroke rate was 7.8% per year (95% confidence interval 4.5 to 14). CONCLUSIONS: In this large cohort of AF patients given aspirin, those with intermittent AF had stroke rates similar to patients with sustained AF and similar stroke risk factors. Many elderly patients with recurrent intermittent AF have substantial rates of stroke and likely benefit from anticoagulation. High-risk patients with intermittent AF can be identified using the same clinical criteria that apply to patients with sustained AF.

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Cite This Study

Hart et al. (2000) conducted a cohort in Atrial fibrillation (n=2,012). Intermittent atrial fibrillation vs. Sustained atrial fibrillation was evaluated on Ischemic stroke. In patients treated with aspirin, intermittent atrial fibrillation was associated with a similar annualized rate of ischemic stroke (3.2%) compared to sustained atrial fibrillation (3.3%).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a837ac1ec361eff96a61a15https://doi.org/10.1016/s0735-1097(99)00489-1
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