The article substantiates the appropriateness of applying a scenario approach to evaluate the efficiency of managerial decisions in the construction industry in the context of transformational changes and post-war recovery. An original model of the Scenario Efficiency Index (ICE) is proposed, which takes into account multidimensional criteria: adaptability, innovativeness, ecological and social responsibility, and risk sensitivity. Three typical scenarios for the development of the construction sector are developed («Rapid Recovery», «Green Compromise», «Industrial Inertia»), demonstrating the possibilities of a new approach to strategic management. The practical value of the study is confirmed by examples from leading Ukrainian and international companies that implement similar approaches. Prospects for further research in the context of digital transformation, ESG, and cognitive modeling in management have been identified. The specifics of human resource management in the construction sector have been examined, considering the challenges of sustainable development and the application of scenario planning. It has been determined that proactive crisis management fosters increased adaptability of companies and their ability to foresee potential threats at early stages. The scenario approach to evaluating managerial decisions allows construction companies to adapt their strategies to changing market conditions while taking into account innovative approaches to human resource management. Proactive crisis management aids in the early forecasting of risks and the development of effective response mechanisms that ensure stability and growth in the industry. Crisis management in the construction sector involves optimizing personnel processes, integrating ESG strategies, and utilizing digital technologies to enhance the efficiency of managerial decisions. The article outlines the key aspects of crisis management, including the optimization of personnel processes, effective communication, and support for staff under conditions of instability. It has been determined that the implementation of innovative approaches, including digital technologies and ESG strategies, positively impacts the resilience of companies during times of crisis. The article concludes that the integration of scenario planning into human resources management allows not only for risk forecasting but also ensures the long-term stability of organizations.
Shymanovska-Dianych et al. (2025) studied this question.