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December 5, 2025Information Systems Research8 citations

What, Why, and How: An Empiricist’s Guide to Double/Debiased Machine Learning

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BSBowen ShiXMXiaojie Mao

Key Points

  • Double/debiased machine learning (DML) enables accurate effect estimation in empirical research with high-dimensional data.
  • DML effectively uses random forests and gradient boosting to manage complex relationships among control variables and outcomes.
  • Analysis indicates DML shows greater robustness to model misspecification than traditional regression methods or earlier semiparametric techniques.
  • Proper application of DML is essential, requiring high-quality machine learning estimation and sound research design principles.

Abstract

We provide an introduction to double/debiased machine learning (DML), a framework that enables effect estimation when dealing with complex, high-dimensional data. In many empirical analyses, especially in fields such as information systems, researchers face difficult choices about which control variables to include and how to model their relationships with the outcome. These modeling decisions can significantly change results, leading to uncertainty about which findings are reliable. DML offers a practical solution by combining modern machine learning with rigorous statistical inference. The idea is to let flexible ML models (such as random forests or gradient boosting) capture complex relationships among control variables while still delivering reliable estimates for the key effect of interest. DML can be applied to many familiar research designs, including standard regression with controls, instrumental variables, difference in differences, and models that incorporate ML-generated features. Empirical studies and simulations show that DML is typically more robust to misspecification than traditional regression and more reliable than earlier semiparametric methods. However, DML is not automatic—it still requires sound research design and high-quality machine learning estimation. Used thoughtfully, DML provides a powerful, flexible, and statistically grounded approach for empirical research in modern data environments.

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Cite This Study

Shi et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/694022532d562116f28fc406https://doi.org/10.1287/isre.2024.0888
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