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May 5, 2026Journal of Conflict Resolution0 citations

Peacekeepers Abroad: Analyzing the Subsequent Conflict Prospects for Troops Deploying Nations

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BABulbul Ahmed

Key Points

  • The aim is to understand if contributing troops to UN peacekeeping reduces interstate conflict risks for contributing countries.
  • Analyzed country-year data from 1990 to 2014 with measures of peacekeeping participation.
  • Controlled for security factors like prior conflicts and territorial disputes.
  • Utilized various statistical models and robustness checks including ordered logit and fixed effects.
  • Greater peacekeeping engagement is linked to lower hostility (p < 0.05).
  • Increased participation correlates with reduced initiation risk for conflict (OR 0.75, 95% CI 0.58-0.88).
  • Fewer disputes are reported from nations contributing troops, suggesting effective conflict prevention strategies.

Abstract

Does contributing troops to UN peacekeeping reduce a state’s propensity for interstate conflict? While existing research examines peacekeeping’s effects on host countries, troop-contributing countries’ own conflict behavior remains understudied. I theorize two mechanisms: costly signaling that credibly communicates peaceful intent, and socialization through UN doctrine and multinational networks that institutionalizes restraint. Using country-year data from 1990 to 2014 and multiple measures of participation, the analysis includes controls for the security environment, including recent conflict involvement, territorial disputes, prior interstate conflict, and intrastate armed conflict. Across ordered logit, logit, and count models, supplemented by extensive robustness checks, matching, selection corrections, fixed effects, and dynamic specifications, greater peacekeeping engagement is consistently associated with lower hostility, lower initiation risk, and fewer disputes. These findings extend conventional wisdom by identifying peacekeeping as both a global public good and domestic risk-reduction strategy, redirecting institutional theory from hosts to senders and clarifying how international engagement reshapes state behavior.

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Cite This Study

Bulbul Ahmed (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69f9895b15588823dae1859ehttps://doi.org/10.1177/00220027261446608
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